FILE PHOTO: Stickers saying "I Voted Today" are given out to voters in the Democratic primary in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, U.S., June 2, 2020. REUTERS/Rachel Wisniewski/File Photo/File Photo
Republicans are turning out to vote, but Democrats are also showing up in numbers higher than in 2018 and 2020.
The data:
Democrats are getting their voters out, and this is where the GOP strategy of relying on heavy election day turnout could haunt them. The conventional wisdom for the last two election cycles has been that Democrats vote early and Republicans vote on election day.
However, younger voters are increasingly planning on voting on election day, and they are voting early, which means that while election day might have high Republican turnout, there also might be higher than expected Democratic turnout.
The reason why the midterm election is not a money-in-the-bank red wave for Republicans is that Democrats have changed their voting habits. The days of Democrats not showing up for midterms look to be in the rearview mirror, which means that future midterm elections might be just like the 2022 midterm, which is an unpredictable district-by-district and state-by-state battle for control of Congress.
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