FILE PHOTO: An election worker places mail-in ballots into an election box at a drive-through drop off location in San Diego, California, U.S. November 5, 2018. REUTERS/Mike Blake/File Photo/File Photo
By overturning Roe, the Supreme Court has reshaped the 2022 midterm election as Democrats have gained an average of 5 points in the last 9 post-Roe polls.
Simon Rosenberg tweeted the data:
There is a combination of factors at work to explain the turnaround in the polling for Democrats, but the biggest one is the overturn of Roe. The Supreme Court changed the scope of the midterm election. Any poll that finds that Roe is not an important issue to voters is a poll that is either outdated or methodologically questionable.
The second factor that has brought Democrats closer is that Republicans have some bad candidates running in Senate races. Democrats are currently favored to keep control of the Senate. By nominating Herschel Walker and Mehmet Oz as Republican Senate candidates in Georgia and Pennsylvania respectively, Republicans gave Democrats an edge in two key Senate races.
A third factor is that prices both at the gas pump and the grocery store are falling. Republicans based their entire election campaign on high gas prices and inflation. If both continue dropping, by November, what once looked like a red wave will become a close election.
Jimmy Carter was not only the longest living ex-president in history, but he lived so…
Former President Barack Obama and First Lady Michelle Obama honored Jimmy Carter in the most…
Trump got House Republicans to not use reconciliation to cut Social Security. The problem is…
President-elect Trump and Speaker Mike Johnson have agreed to a deal that would fund the…
Donald Trump demanded that the debt limit be raised as part of the government funding…
Donald Trump and JD Vance are blaming President Biden for the havoc caused by Elon…
This website uses cookies.
